Ways To Bet On Hockey

Hockey stands apart somewhat from games like basketball and football in that there is low scoring and a low scoring differential between teams. This makes betting on hockey slightly different from betting on these other sports, but it’s still pretty simple  like playing video poker if you know what you’re doing.

Hockey Betting Option 1: Money Line

One of the best ways to bet on the outcome of any sporting contest is by playing the money line, which is really just like a standards odds bet. Instead of comparing the payout odds to 1, however (ex. 3-to-1, 8-to-1) they are compared to $100.

Money line example: New Jersey -140/+120 Phoenix. This money line means that a bet on New Jersey to win the game will cost $140 to win $100. A bet on Phoenix, on the other hand, requires only a $100 wager to win $120. Expressed in terms of odds, someone betting on New Jersey is laying (giving up) 1.4-to-1, while someone betting on Phoenix is getting 1.2-to-1.

Hockey Betting Option 2: Puck Line

The puck line is a variation on the money line that better takes into account the relative strength of the two teams. A puck line may look like this: New Jersey -1.5 -110/-110 +1.5 Phoenix. This means that whether you bet on New Jersey or Phoenix, you will have to wager $110 to win $100. However, if you take Phoenix, you get one and a half goals, meaning that even if Phoenix loses, you win, as long as they lose by only one goal. In contrast, you get better odds than before for taking New Jersey, but if the Devils win by only one goal, it still counts as a loss.

Deciding Which Hockey Betting Option to Take

If you’re confident in your team’s ability to win and feel like you can win playing slot machines but your team is the underdog, you are probably better off taking the better odds offered by the money line. If you think your team needs a little help, the puck line may be better for you. If you’re going with the favorite, you should take the money line unless you are confident that your team will blow out the opponent, in which case you might take the puck line with the preferred odds.

Kovalchuk Resigning with New Jersey is Bad for Player and Team

Ilya Kovalchuk has just signed a new seventeen year deal to stay a New Jersey Devil for his foreseeable future.  The cap hit will be only $6 Million a season, but Kovalchuk and the Devils played the system by only really paying Kovalchuk what he wanted and deserves for the first ten years of the deal.  The final seven years were just meant to bring the cap hit down, by paying only $750,000.  I think the NHL needs to look at this problem with the cap because teams are exploiting this and nobody can blame them for it because if there is a loophole it is the general managers right and obligation to use it to the best advantage of the team.  Kovalchuk will now retire after 10 years when the money he receives starts to decrease and he will in effect have been paid by the team ~$10,000,000 a season.

Now, onto why Kovalchuk signing in New Jersey is not good for the team or for him individually.  If you look at his numbers last season in Atlanta compared to in New Jersey, Kovalchuk’s production dropped significantly in New Jersey.  He only managed a point a game in New Jersey, while in Atlanta he was ripping it up at a much higher output.  The Devils are known as a defensive team who don’t score a tremendous amount of goals and this just isn’t what Kovalchuk was made for.

The team also sputtered after adding Kovalchuk to the lineup and went out quickly in the first round of the playoffs, only managing one win.  Kovalchuk did lead the team in scoring in the playoffs so you can’t put the blame directly on him, but I think the Devils should be Parise’s team and I’m just not convinced that Kovalchuk will ever find chemistry or find his place on a team such as the Devils.

In Los Angeles, Kovalchuk would have been on a younger, up and coming team who play much more his style of game.  He would have blossomed even further offensively in LA playing with the likes of Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar and the other young stars on the team.  In New Jersey Kovalchuk will not be challenging for any individual awards anymore, whereas in Los Angeles he could have been a threat for the Art Ross or Maurice Richard trophies for years to come.

I don’t like the deal for either side and I don’t like how the NHL is allowing teams to blatantly take advantage of the salary cap loop holes by allowing ridiculously front loaded deals for ridiculous amounts of time.

Congrats To The Chicago Blackhawks

I just wanted to write a quick post to say congratulations to the Chicago Blackhawks.  They had a terrific year and deserved to win the Stanley Cup.  I couldn’t have said the same about the Flyers so I’m happy the Blackhawks won.  I like underdog stories, but I prefer for the best team to win when possible to maintain the integrity of the league.  Sure it’s great if anyone can win, but it’s also nice if there are better teams than others in order to show that the game involves skill and not luck.

Hossa deserved the cup as well.  I give him mad respect for only wanting to play for teams who had a legitimate chance at the Stanley Cup.  He’s played a tremendous amount of games over the past three years making the finals each of the last three years with different teams and also representing his country at the Olympics.  Good for you Hossa.

Kane proved me wrong this year.  He has definitely matured into a much more well rounded player.  One that I would love to have on my team.  I’m glad he scored the overtime goal because it’s nice when a star player can score that goal to win the Stanley Cup for his team.

This Stanley Cup also proves that paying the depth players what they have and handcuffing themselves for next season paid off.  If a team could win the cup one year only to miss the playoffs the next 4 years in a row they should take that deal any day.  And the great thing about the ‘Hawks is even if the lose some players they still have the cornerstones in place for them to be a great team for a long time, so they don’t even have to worry about becoming a losing team.  Dale Tallon deserves a lot of credit for building this team.  Maybe he actually did know what he was doing when he paid those players what he did!

Anyways, I’m going to wrap this up.  Congrats to the Blackhawks.  Next year it’s going to be a Sens vs Wild finals !

Predictions, and Thoughts

These have been one of the most exciting playoff years up to date, with every series being tied 1-1, and some physical and high scoring series what more do hockey fans want.

Before I discuss the playoffs I will share what my predictions were

I had Detroit, Los Angeles, San Jose, and Chicago coming out of the West.

I had Philadelphia, Pittsburg, Washington, and Buffalo coming out of the East.

Things aren’t that far off so I’m content.

Detroit Phoenix Series

This series has been the best by far.  The Yotes are definitely out hitting the Wings, but the Wings are coming alive in the physical department with the addition of Justin Abdelkater.  Him and Darren Helm are hitting anything that moves, but they are both overshadowed by the play of Coyotes captain Shane Doan.  Doan has been a machine for the Coyotes, this is costing the team as Doan has taking two minor penalties (Charging on Kronwall, and interference on Lidstrom), both of which resulted in a Detroit goal.

Now this is all lost as Doan left game 3 with an unknown upper body injury when he slammed into the boards after tripping over Red Wings goaltender Jimmy Howard.  This might be the end of the series for Phoenix.  Without Doan they lose one of their best players, and their captain.  I can’t see Detroit losing two in a row at home, and specially if Doan is out for game 4.  Expect a win tomorrow at the Joe Louis Arena, and then a exciting finish for the last three games of the series.

San Jose

I know every spring the Sharks always lose out in the playoffs with an amazing team, so far this year it isn’t looking any different.  We have to give the Sharks credit though, they brutally outshot the Avs and lost in overtime to a fluke goal.  They need a big bounce back game in game 4, but I don’t know if I see this happening.  Dany Heatley didn’t play in game three because of an undisclosed upper body injury, if he isn’t back for game 4 it’ll be a tough game for the Sharks.  With Thorton and Marleau goaless, and with the overtime goal shadowing Boyle the Sharks need to dig deep for the win.  The Avs are a young, hungry, and confident team now except them to come out of the gate early in game four.

If the Sharks lose this series, and get eliminated from the playoffs early again the team needs to do some serious roster moves.

Teams Cannot Afford to Fall Behind in New NHL

It is still very early in the NHL regular season, but teams that are falling behind now are quickly putting themselves out of playoff contention.  With the parody in the league these days and the extra overtime/shootout points teams that fall behind early in the season really put themselves up against the wall in terms of coming from behind and grabbing a playoff spot.  I saw it last year with my Ottawa Senators.  The Sens started off slow and then they were fighting a losing battle all year long.  Even a huge three week span to start March where the Sens earned 18 of a possible 22 points didn’t event put the Senators within a reasonable striking distance of a playoff birth.  I’m writing this article because I keep hearing fans of teams low in the standings talking about how their team has a legitimate shot at the playoffs.  It’s getting to that time of year where teams are already finding themselves out of the hunt.

Take the Toronto Maple Leafs for example.  Leaf fans are the worst.  Most of them probably still think their team is going to win the Stanley Cup this year.  The will say things like, “we are just 7 points out of the playoffs.  That’s just four wins.”  But the truth is that’s four wins for the Leafs, four losses for the 8th place team, three losses for the ninth, tenth and eleventh place teams, and two losses for the 12th placed team.  That equals out to 19 games having to go as planned, and a lot of the time that’s just not possible because these teams that have to lose will likely be playing each other.  Not to mention that these losses have to be in regulation.  The extra point makes it even more difficult for teams to come from behind to make playoffs because even when teams ahead of them are losing they will still be receiving a single point many of these times.

Let’s look at this logically.  I think even fans making these outrageous NHL predictions in favour of their favourite team can agree that a playoff team needs 90 points at an absolute minimum.  The average of the two 8th placed teams last season was 92 so we will use that number to make our following calculations.  The Maple Leafs currently have 25 points in 29 games.  This means that they need to earn, at an absolute minimum, 67 points in their remaining 53 games.  That is an average of 1.265 points per game.  So far this season, only the top 6 teams in the league have a point % greater than 1.265.  To put it into perspective at an absolute minimum, the Leafs would have to win about 31 of their last 53 games, lose 17 in regulation and lose 5 in OT/SO.  Does anyone really think the Maple Leafs can be a top 6 NHL team for the last two-thirds of the season?  I certainly don’t.

Once a team falls behind in this new NHL where the teams are all very equal and many games award the loser a point it is very difficult to make up any ground.  The games at this time of year are extremely important, so if your team is starting to fall off the pace, I advise you to treat every game like it’s the playoffs and watch it intently.

It’s autumn and the Leafs are falling.

I know this topic is very controversial because the Leafs are one of the most popular teams in the league, but it is time to face the facts that our beloved Leafs are falling quickly.  After have a mediocre 6-3 record in the pre-season, the Leafs have failed to win a single game two weeks into the season.  Starting 0-5-1 was not what I was expecting when Burke promised us Leaf fans a better season this year.  Now I know that it is early in the season, and that the Leafs have not played their best hockey so far, but they are currently the laughing stock of the NHL at this point being placed 30th out of a possible 30.  Now you’re probably saying that this guy is not a Leafs fan, but I am, and have been for as long as I could remember.  Right now I am an upset Leafs fan, waiting for the Leafs to start winning some games.  Now people are probably saying, “wait till Phil Kessel comes back from injury”.  Why did the Leafs trade away two first-round picks and a second round pick for a guy who has never gotten more then 60 points (which was last season, and 37 points the year before) and pay him 27 million over 5 years?  Because the Leafs like to pay players more then they are actually worth.  Let’s just take a look at the Leafs defensive line-up.  Only one guy on their defensive line-up should be making more then 4 million dollars, and that guy is undoubtedly Tomas Kaberle.  Before being signed by the Leafs last season to a 3.5 million dollars a year contract, Jeff Finger had played 94 regular season games in the NHL.  Does 94 nhl games provide a new team with experience or even promise of being good?  The reason I point this out is because the Leafs pay guys like this that kind of money when guys such as Dennis Wideman, Brent Seabrook and Cam Barker or making the same type of money.  The reason I bring this up is that the Leafs always over-pay their players after a strong season instead of bringing in solid individuals that can do the job for less and bring in big NHL names like free agents during this summer Marian Gaborik, Martin Havlat or even Marian Hossa.   This is the first of many articles if the Leafs do not decide to pick up their act and start playing real hockey.

Yours truly,

F***ING PISSED OFF LEAF FAN

NHL 2008-2009 Standings Using 3-Point System

I’m a big believer in the NHL switching over to a 3-point system that awards 3 points for regulation wins, 2 points for overtime/shootout wins, 1 point for overtime/shootout losses and nothing for regulation losses.

I feel that the current system of awarding 2 points some games and 3 points others is completely ridiculous because it encourages regulation ties and makes it difficult for teams to gain any ground in the standings during the playoff races.

I’m going to be adding a detailed article outline why I think the NHL should make the switch to the 3-point system in the near future.  In the mean time I have done some research and analyzed how the standings would have looked last year had the 3-point system been used:

Eastern Conference

Standings Using Current System vs Standings Using 3-Point System

	Team	GP	Wins	OT Wins	OT Losses	Losses	Points
1	Boston	82	46	7	10	19	162
2	Washington	82	40	10	8	24	148
3	New Jersey	82	37	14	4	27	143
4	Philadelphia	82	34	10	11	27	133
5	Carolina	82	35	10	7	30	132
6	Pittsburgh	82	33	12	9	28	132
7	Florida	82	34	7	11	30	127
8	New York Rangers	82	30	13	9	30	125
9	Montreal	82	30	11	11	30	123
10	Buffalo	82	31	10	9	32	122
11	Ottawa	82	29	7	11	35	112
12	Toronto	82	24	10	13	35	105
13	Atlanta	82	24	11	6	41	100
14	Tampa Bay	82	19	5	18	40	85
15	New York Islanders	82	20	6	9	47	81

As you can see using the 3-point system would have made some significant changes in the Eastern Conference.  Most notably, the Florida Panthers would have finished seventh with 127 points, passing the New York Rangers and pushing the Montreal Canadiens out of the playoffs.  The Habs played 22 overtime/shootout games in 08-09 and this played a major role in allowing them to sneak into the 8th playoff spot in the East.  Another change would be the Penguins falling from 4th to 6th position.  This would have meant that the Penguins play the New Jersey Devils in the first round of the playoffs, which could have caused the entire Stanley Cup run to play out differently.  Most people would agree at the Panthers deserved to be in the playoffs and likely would have put up more of a fight than the Canadiens.

Western Conference

Standings Using Current System vs Standings Using 3-Point System

		GP	Wins	OT Wins	OT Losses	Losses	Points
1	San Jose	82	44	9	11	18	161
2	Detroit	82	42	9	10	21	154
3	Calgary	82	40	6	6	30	138
4	Chicago	82	36	10	12	24	140
5	Vancouver	82	37	8	10	27	137
6	St. Louis	82	31	10	10	31	123
7	Columbus	82	31	10	10	31	123
8	Minnesota	82	33	7	9	33	122
9	Anaheim	82	30	12	7	33	121
10	Nashville	82	28	12	8	34	116
11	Edmonton	82	31	7	9	35	116
12	Phoenix	82	32	4	7	39	111
13	Dallas	82	25	11	11	35	108
14	Los Angeles	82	26	8	11	37	105
15	Colorado	82	20	12	5	45	89

Using the 3-point system, the Minnesota Wild would have squeaked into the 8th place spot and the Anaheim Mighty Ducks would have missed the playoffs but 1 point.  If that’s not a good race then I don’t know what is.  Sixth through ninth in the West has only a 2 point difference in the West.  This was a 4 point difference using the current system and it’s much more difficult to make up points the way points are currently allotted.  So there goes the argument that the playoff races would be less exciting with the 3-point system.  Both Nashville and Edmonton would have been in it right to the end as well with 116 points a piece.  The only other change the 3-point system would have made is Calgary and Vancouver switching places (but they would both have likely still lost to Havlat and the ‘Hawks anyways ).

As you can see the 3-point system isn’t going to drastically change the standings.  However, it is the fairer way to award points and the slight differences would have been huge for both Florida and Minnesota who really each deserved to be in the playoffs based on their records.  Minnesota played in 3 less overtime games than the Ducks and Florida played in 4 fewer OT games than the Habs.  The current NHL point system is supposedly rewarding competition, but in reality it is rewarding mediocrity.  The teams that play for a tie are rewarded, while the teams that play for the win are penalized.

That’s it for now.  I’ll have another post on this topic within the few days outlining why the NHL should switch to the 3-point system.

Blackhawks Should Trade Patrick Kane

Patrick Kane was recently charged for robbing and abusing a cab driver while home in Buffalo.  This incident once again got me thinking about what a liability Patrick Kane is on such a promising Chicago Blackhawks team.  When a player who is making close to $4,000,000 a year, not including endorsements (Kane is supposed to be featured on upcoming video game NHL 10, but who knows if that will last) blows a gasket because a cabbie doesnt have $0.20 in change you have to start questioning his character.

I personally was a Blackhawks fan last year, but I hated watching Patrick Kane on the ice and was very happy when they limited his ice time in the playoffs.  He is a liability on the ice.  What kind of player is a -1 playing on the top line of the 3rd best team in the West from the regular season.  Compare this to my boy Martin Havlat’s +30 numbers at the same position on the checking line and you will see that Patrick Kane is extremely overrated.  He shouldn’t have even been mentioned in the same sentence as Havlat.

Now that Havlat is gone I no longer consider myself a Blackhawks fan, but I can see the ‘Hawks are in a lot of trouble when it comes to keeping players after this season.  The team is currently almost $5M over the cap for this season and then when you factor in that Toews, Kane and Keith are all restricted free agents next year you have to wonder what Chicago will do.

I think Chicago should trade Kane this year, early in the season and try to get some players who will actually put in what it takes to win.  Sports betting sites have already placed odds on his return next year.  This means backchecking and going into the corners.  Neither of which Kane will do.  Out of the three restricted free agents Kane is the obvious choice not to sign next year because Toews is the captain and will likely be a lifetime ‘Hawk and Keith is currently one of the best defensemen in the league.  Why not trade Kane early and actually get something back for him when his stock is relative high.  I have no clue why it would be high because I think Kane is as good as he will ever get and that’s a guy who can score, but can’t win.  But if other GM’s think he has an upside let them take him off the Blackhawks hands and get something in return.

If Stan Bowman can deal Kane for a couple solid players or a goalie depending on how Huet pans out the Blackhawks may have a shot at the cup this year.  If not then I can’t see them doing any better than last year.  Especially with no Martin Havlat in the line-up.

The 2009-2010 NHL Schedule has been Released

The NHL released their schedule for the 09-10 season today and this unveiling makes the season seem that much closer. In fact it’s only a short 2 and a half months away. The season opens on October 1st 2009, with 4 games. These games include a couple of hot Canadian rivalries with the Canadiens visiting the Maple Leafs and the Flames at home to the Canucks. The other opening games include the Capitals playing the Bruins and the Sharks in Colorado, where the Avalanche will be retiring Sakic’s number.

Then the traditional overseas games will be held on the 2nd and 3rd of October. The Red Wings and Blues will face off for a couple games in Stockholm, Sweden, while the Panthers and the Blackhawks will be playing not far away in Helsinki, Finland.

Then the real fun starts on October 3rd with all 30 teams in action. Look for the Ottawa Senators and the Minnesota “Martin Havlat” Wild to start their seasons off with a bang.

The winter classic game has also been announced. The game will take place on New Years day at Fenway Park in Boston. The Flyers and Bruins will put on the touques, scarves and tar, as well as strap on the skates for some old time hockey in front of a 100,000 fans. I’m hoping to see Bruins forward, Milan Lucic, put Chris Pronger through the glass and over the boards onto the frozen tundra that is Fenway Park field.

It’s going to be a great year for hockey. It’s anyones guess to win the cup and thanks to the parity of the league, everyone has a chance almost every year. The Olympics will also be a great two week break for players to either represent their country with national pride on the line or rest up for the playoff stretch. Hockey Opinions will be covering all of the action with plenty of opinions and biases to be shown. Check back soon for some early Stanley Cup predictions from our panel of hockey experts fans.

The Delay of Game Over the Glass Penalty is Silly

I’ve been watching a ton of hockey this playoffs and I have seen way too many delay of game penalties for players shooting the puck over the glass.  Not one of these penalties I saw was intentional and several times these silly over the glass delay of game penalties helped to decide the winning team.  The NHL really needs to take a look at this and reassess the severity of the delay of game penalty for shooting the puck over the glass from the defensive zone.

In my hockey opinion the NHL should change the rule to be the same as the icing rule, where if a player flips the puck over the boards the penalty is that they are not allowed to change.  It’s been widely said that the reason this penalty was introduced was because players would flip the puck over the boards when they were tired in order to try to get a change.  This sounds very similar to why players decide to ice the puck.  However the difference is if players flip the puck over the boards they get a two-minute penalty, whereas if they ice the puck they just aren’t allowed to change.  Players make both plays for the same reason and both plays result in the same outcome of a delay in the game, so in my opinion both plays should be penalized the same way.

The over the glass delay of game penalty was to prevent players from intentionally playing the puck over the glass.  Of course nobody intentionally plays the puck over the glass now, but it still happens because in some cases it is inevitable and it’s just a few inches between a solid clear off the glass out of danger and a two minute penalty.  By replacing the two minute penalty for clearing the puck over the glass with the current icing rule that players aren’t allowed to change the NHL will still be able to deter players from intentionally clearing the puck over the glass when they are tired and not risk drastically affecting games from slight misplays.

A perfect example would be when Rick Nash took a penalty for clearing the puck over the glass and Russia went on to score on the powerplay and win the gold over Canada in last years IIHF Hockey Championships.  This is not the way teams should be winning games.  Everyone wants the best team to have the best chance at winning and this penalty only adds variance to the game, which decreases the chances of the right team winning.  I know the NHL wants parity and more goals and awarding silly penalties is one way to get both, but in reality this “delay of game puck over glass” penalty is hurting a lot more than it’s helping.  The penalty was added to do a job.  Now that the NHL has found another way to deter players from delaying the game (not allowing changes) they should quickly do away with this minor penalty and avoid any more controversial finishes.

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