It’s autumn and the Leafs are falling.

October 15, 2009 by  
Filed under Hockey Opinions

I know this topic is very controversial because the Leafs are one of the most popular teams in the league, but it is time to face the facts that our beloved Leafs are falling quickly.  After have a mediocre 6-3 record in the pre-season, the Leafs have failed to win a single game two weeks into the season.  Starting 0-5-1 was not what I was expecting when Burke promised us Leaf fans a better season this year.  Now I know that it is early in the season, and that the Leafs have not played their best hockey so far, but they are currently the laughing stock of the NHL at this point being placed 30th out of a possible 30.  Now you’re probably saying that this guy is not a Leafs fan, but I am, and have been for as long as I could remember.  Right now I am an upset Leafs fan, waiting for the Leafs to start winning some games.  Now people are probably saying, “wait till Phil Kessel comes back from injury”.  Why did the Leafs trade away two first-round picks and a second round pick for a guy who has never gotten more then 60 points (which was last season, and 37 points the year before) and pay him 27 million over 5 years?  Because the Leafs like to pay players more then they are actually worth.  Let’s just take a look at the Leafs defensive line-up.  Only one guy on their defensive line-up should be making more then 4 million dollars, and that guy is undoubtedly Tomas Kaberle.  Before being signed by the Leafs last season to a 3.5 million dollars a year contract, Jeff Finger had played 94 regular season games in the NHL.  Does 94 nhl games provide a new team with experience or even promise of being good?  The reason I point this out is because the Leafs pay guys like this that kind of money when guys such as Dennis Wideman, Brent Seabrook and Cam Barker or making the same type of money.  The reason I bring this up is that the Leafs always over-pay their players after a strong season instead of bringing in solid individuals that can do the job for less and bring in big NHL names like free agents during this summer Marian Gaborik, Martin Havlat or even Marian Hossa.   This is the first of many articles if the Leafs do not decide to pick up their act and start playing real hockey.

Yours truly,

F***ING PISSED OFF LEAF FAN

NHL 2008-2009 Standings Using 3-Point System

October 8, 2009 by  
Filed under Hockey Opinions

I’m a big believer in the NHL switching over to a 3-point system that awards 3 points for regulation wins, 2 points for overtime/shootout wins, 1 point for overtime/shootout losses and nothing for regulation losses.

I feel that the current system of awarding 2 points some games and 3 points others is completely ridiculous because it encourages regulation ties and makes it difficult for teams to gain any ground in the standings during the playoff races.

I’m going to be adding a detailed article outline why I think the NHL should make the switch to the 3-point system in the near future.  In the mean time I have done some research and analyzed how the standings would have looked last year had the 3-point system been used:

Eastern Conference

Standings Using Current System vs Standings Using 3-Point System

Eastern Conference Standings

Team GP Wins OT Wins OT Losses Losses Points
1 Boston 82 46 7 10 19 162
2 Washington 82 40 10 8 24 148
3 New Jersey 82 37 14 4 27 143
4 Philadelphia 82 34 10 11 27 133
5 Carolina 82 35 10 7 30 132
6 Pittsburgh 82 33 12 9 28 132
7 Florida 82 34 7 11 30 127
8 New York Rangers 82 30 13 9 30 125
9 Montreal 82 30 11 11 30 123
10 Buffalo 82 31 10 9 32 122
11 Ottawa 82 29 7 11 35 112
12 Toronto 82 24 10 13 35 105
13 Atlanta 82 24 11 6 41 100
14 Tampa Bay 82 19 5 18 40 85
15 New York Islanders 82 20 6 9 47 81

As you can see using the 3-point system would have made some significant changes in the Eastern Conference.  Most notably, the Florida Panthers would have finished seventh with 127 points, passing the New York Rangers and pushing the Montreal Canadiens out of the playoffs.  The Habs played 22 overtime/shootout games in 08-09 and this played a major role in allowing them to sneak into the 8th playoff spot in the East.  Another change would be the Penguins falling from 4th to 6th position.  This would have meant that the Penguins play the New Jersey Devils in the first round of the playoffs, which could have caused the entire Stanley Cup run to play out differently.  Most people would agree at the Panthers deserved to be in the playoffs and likely would have put up more of a fight than the Canadiens.

Western Conference

Standings Using Current System vs Standings Using 3-Point System

Western Conference

GP Wins OT Wins OT Losses Losses Points
1 San Jose 82 44 9 11 18 161
2 Detroit 82 42 9 10 21 154
3 Calgary 82 40 6 6 30 138
4 Chicago 82 36 10 12 24 140
5 Vancouver 82 37 8 10 27 137
6 St. Louis 82 31 10 10 31 123
7 Columbus 82 31 10 10 31 123
8 Minnesota 82 33 7 9 33 122
9 Anaheim 82 30 12 7 33 121
10 Nashville 82 28 12 8 34 116
11 Edmonton 82 31 7 9 35 116
12 Phoenix 82 32 4 7 39 111
13 Dallas 82 25 11 11 35 108
14 Los Angeles 82 26 8 11 37 105
15 Colorado 82 20 12 5 45 89

Using the 3-point system, the Minnesota Wild would have squeaked into the 8th place spot and the Anaheim Mighty Ducks would have missed the playoffs but 1 point.  If that’s not a good race then I don’t know what is.  Sixth through ninth in the West has only a 2 point difference in the West.  This was a 4 point difference using the current system and it’s much more difficult to make up points the way points are currently allotted.  So there goes the argument that the playoff races would be less exciting with the 3-point system.  Both Nashville and Edmonton would have been in it right to the end as well with 116 points a piece.  The only other change the 3-point system would have made is Calgary and Vancouver switching places (but they would both have likely still lost to Havlat and the ‘Hawks anyways :P ).

As you can see the 3-point system isn’t going to drastically change the standings.  However, it is the fairer way to award points and the slight differences would have been huge for both Florida and Minnesota who really each deserved to be in the playoffs based on their records.  Minnesota played in 3 less overtime games than the Ducks and Florida played in 4 fewer OT games than the Habs.  The current NHL point system is supposedly rewarding competition, but in reality it is rewarding mediocrity.  The teams that play for a tie are rewarded, while the teams that play for the win are penalized.

That’s it for now.  I’ll have another post on this topic within the few days outlining why the NHL should switch to the 3-point system.

Martin Havlat will get Over 80 Points this Season

October 6, 2009 by  
Filed under Hockey Predictions

Me and my buddy made a bet how many points Havlat will get this season.  The over/under was 79.5, with a condition that he plays at least 75 games.

I feel that this condition really puts the bet in my favour.  Havlat has been a point a game guy with both the Senators and the Blackhawks and in Minnesota he will be looked to for even more offense as the go to guy.  Havlat was only playing around 15 minutes a game in Chicago because they were such a deep team that liked to run through their lines, but in Minnesota the depth isn’t there quite the same.  Havlat will be relied on to carry most of the offensive load and I for one feel he is up to the challenge.

By taking out the injury risk factor, that as we all know is a big risk when it comes to Havlat, it seems to me he has the skill and the role to put up huge numbers this season.  Coach Todd Richards has been preaching about offense and playing an attacking style.  So far the Wild haven’t been able to fully forget their defensive culture and embrace Richards plans, but this should happen in the near future and I think Havlat will be one of the main beneficiaries.

If you have Havlat in your hockey pool this season, congratulations because he is going to put up some big numbers.